Rheumatoid arthritis increases the risk of heart failure: results from the cross-sectional study in the US population and mendelian randomization analysis in the European population

Objective: Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a chronic systemic autoimmune disease. Among its various complications, heart failure (HF) has been recognized as the second leading cause of cardiovascular death in RA patients. The objective of this study was to investigate the relationship between RA and HF using epidemiological and genetic approaches

Methods: The study included 37,736 participants from the 1999-2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Associations between RA and HF in the US population were assessed with weighted multivariate logistic regression analysis. A two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was employed to establish the causal relationship between the two variables. The primary analysis method utilized was inverse variance weighting (IVW). Additionally, horizontal pleiotropy and heterogeneity were assessed to account for potential confounding factors. In cases where multiple independent datasets were accessible during MR analysis, we combined the findings through a meta-analytical approach.

Results: In observational studies, the prevalence of HF in combination with RA reached 7.11% (95%CI 5.83 to 8.39). RA was positively associated with an increased prevalence of HF in the US population [odds ratio (OR):1.93, 95% confidence interval (CI):1.47-2.54, P < 0.0001]. In a MR analysis utilizing a meta-analytical approach to amalgamate the results of the IVW method, we identified a significant causal link between genetically predicted RA and a heightened risk of HF (OR = 1.083, 95% CI: 1.028-1.141; P = 0.003). However, this association was not deemed significant for seronegative RA (SRA) (OR = 1.028, 95% CI: 0.992-1.065; P = 0.126). These findings were consistent across sensitivity analyses and did not indicate any horizontal pleiotropy.

Conclusion: RA correlates with an elevated prevalence of HF within the US population. Furthermore, genetic evidence derived from European populations underscores a causal link between RA and the risk of HF. However this association was not significant in SRA.