Using the Degree-Day Method to Analyze Central Heating Energy Consumption in Cities of Northern China

In the context of global population growth and energy scarcity, building energy consumption has become a critical issue with implications for the sustainable development of human society. Winter heating consumption constitutes a large portion of total energy used in buildings, especially in regions with cold climates. This paper employs the degree-day method to analyze the energy consumption of central heating in northern Chinese cities. The study sample consists of 60 target cities, including 30 located in severe cold regions and the remaining 30 in cold regions. By utilizing heating energy consumption and climate data from 2019, the relationships between heating intensity (kWh/m2) and heating degree days (HDDs) are established for the selected cities. Additionally, statistical analysis and model comparisons are conducted. The results show strong positive correlations between heating intensity and HDDs in both severe cold regions and cold regions, with the actual heating base temperatures for the two regions being 21 °C and 22.3 °C, respectively. Moreover, the deviation index of heating intensity is introduced to analyze the energy consumption characteristics of central heating in northern cities from three perspectives: city size, level of heating development, and geographical regions. The analysis suggests that cities with large population, strong economies, and high levels of development exhibit better energy-saving performance. Lastly, several improvement suggestions are proposed to address the potential problems related to energy conservation of central heating systems in cities of northern China.